Showing posts with label Deception. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Deception. Show all posts

Sunday, October 29, 2017

Inktober Day# 29 - Hank Reinhardt - Old fencing trick


2 days left to October and that means 2 pictures left for Inktober! Can you dig it?

Flipping through Hank Reinhardt's book, this caught my eye. Hope it helps in your MA and/or your defense.



From Hank Reinhardt's Book of Knives (2012)

There’s an old fencing trick that can be adapted here, as well. Since the lunge is made from the left foot, draw the left foot close to the right. Your opponent will judge your effective distance from your normal position, but when you lunge forward, your reach will be greater than he expects.

I once taught a judo and self-defense class at a YMCA that had a fencing team. One of the fencers was interested in knives, so we made some dummy knives to work out with after class. He was good at fencing and had won several matches in the Southeast. He moved beautifully and with frightening speed. When he lunged, he had about a 30 percent chance of landing a good hit. When he failed, however, he would have been crippled or killed.

Or else the right hand, holding the knife, can drive the point into your arm, causing you to slice your own forearm as you move forward.

Fencing lunges are always preceded by some fake or series of attacks designed to bring the opposing sword out of line so that the thrust can reach home. This isn’t possible with a knife, so the thrust and lunge have to be made as a single movement, with speed as the keynote for success. It just doesn’t work all the time. To sum all this up, I would advise you against lunging. You’re safer staying with cuts to the arm and leg until you can move in and finish your opponent off safely.






My drawings for Inktober 2017 - drawing at least 1 pic each day in October:


Saturday, October 21, 2017

Inktober Day #21 - Lee Morrison's/Urban Combatives' Body Language Cues




10 days left until the end of October! That means the end of Inktober also! Thank you for joining me in my Sojourn of Septillion Steps for this project of combining drawings for Inktober and researching martial arts/self-defense. Early in my Inktober drawings I had no focus/theme. Then I was going to attend a Terry Trahan knifefighting seminar and I had an "Ah ha!" moment. Since then, I've been drawing pictures related to knifefighting.

Continuing my research/studies of "tells"/"PINs" (Pre-INcident indicators) today with a picture of some common body language cues taught by Lee Morrison of Urban Combatives.

If you missed my other posts on Pre-Assault Cues with regard to knifefighting, please check out:


Alrighty, here we go!



From "The Complete Book of Urban Combatives" (2015)
By Lee Morrison
Chapter 14:  Counterweapons Training
Pages 142-144

  • Always assume aggressor is armed and scan his hands. Can you see both hands and all fingers?
  • Approached by aggressor with distracting dialogue
  • Adrenal reactions tells:
    • erratic eye movement,
    • pale face,
    • wide-open eyes,
    • or trembling hand



Lee Morrison mentioned "distracting dialogue" above. One of the best writeups I've seen is from Geoff Thompson. He teaches it as"The Four D's" in Chapter 1 of his "Dead or Alive" book:

The Four 'D's

There are four techniques often used by attackers, especially muggers and rapists, in preparing victims for attack. Although these are nearly always overlooked by self-defence writers, the four 'D's – dialogue, deception, distraction and destruction – are the most important element of self-protection to be aware of.

DIALOGUE

Dialogue designed to disarm and distract the targeted victim is the professional attacker's most common priming technique. An attacker will approach a potential victim in a non-threatening way and begin a conversation. Often, he will ask a question about directions, ask if you have the time, a light, or any spare change. His objective is to make you think about his question, so that you do not notice the weapon he is drawing or his accomplice coming round behind you. It only takes a second of distraction for you to get into deep trouble. Understanding this will make you more aware and keep you alert, which is the most important part of target hardening.

DECEPTION

An attacker uses deception to make himself appear harmless. Dialogue and appearance are the most common methods used to deceive victims, to make them let down their guard. Do not expect dangerous people to stand out in a crowd.

Attacks may start with politeness, even with an ingratiating approach. Deception is the attacker's greatest asset. Every attack I have ever documented that was not a blind-side attack (the ones that happen when you do not use awareness) came through deception, the attacker using this as a window of opportunity.

DISTRACTION

Distraction is a part of deception and usually comes through dialogue. The attacker may ask his victim a question and then initiate attack while the victim is thinking about the answer. This distraction also switches off any instinctive, spontaneous physical response the victim may have. A man with twenty years of physical training in a fighting art can be stripped of his ability by this simple ploy. I have witnessed many trained fighters, who are monsters in the controlled arena, get beaten by a guy with only an ounce of their physical ability. How? They were distracted before the attack. Rob, a hardened street fighter and nightclub doorman, always told potential opponents that he didn't want to fight before he attacked them. Their first thought when recovering consciousness would be: 'I'm sure he said he didn't want to fight!'

If the distraction is submissive, 'I don't want any trouble, can we talk about it?' it will also take your assailant down from a state of fight or flight to one of low awareness, because your submissiveness tells him that the danger is over and he can relax into self-congratulation.

Brain engagement, via disarming/distracting dialogue, gives the victim a blind second. This is when the assailant strikes. The distraction is also used by the experienced attacker to take down any protective fences that may have been constructed by the victim (the 'fence' is dealt with in detail in a later chapter).

DESTRUCTION

This is the final product of expert priming. Few people survive the first physical blow and most are out of the game before they even realise that they are in it. Even trained martial artists often get suckered by the four 'D's because these do not appear on their training curriculum. They do not understand the enemy they are facing. The attacker uses the techniques of deception and distraction to prime a victim that is only trained in 'physical response'.


Learn to recognize these Pre-Assault Cues! Now you know, and knowing is half the battle!!

Stay safe my Friends!



My drawings for Inktober 2017 - drawing at least 1 pic each day in October:


Friday, October 20, 2017

Inktober Day #20 - Richard Ryan's Tactical Concealment/Deceptive Carry Methods


Following up on yesterday's picture/post...



  • Inktober Day #19 - Beware the hidden knife! 


  • ...today's picture for Inktober Day #20 is from Richard Ryan's book. In case you missed my previous entry from his book, you can find it here:



  • Inktober Day #7 - Richard Ryan's/DCM's Knifefighting Stance




  • From "Master of the Blade" (1999)
    by Richard Ryan, pages 142-143



      "Cross Hand Method"

    1. Clasp blade in any grip and hid behind the arm. Stay relaxed and look casual.
    2. Bring defensive hand high and to central line with each drawing action. Protects upper body and ensure you don't cut yourself when drawing.
    3. Use simplest and most direct path to target.


    4. "Palming"


    5. Palming - place weapon in one hand and hide it with that hand or against the forearm or leg.
    6. Make the position look natural. Use a mirror to practice. Element of surprise if you look natural.




    Monitor the hands! Even if you can see the hand like in the cross hand method or palming, they can still be hiding a blade. Maintain a reactionary gap.

    Stay aware and safe my Friends!



    My drawings for Inktober 2017 - drawing at least 1 pic each day in October:


    Thursday, October 19, 2017

    Inktober Day #19 - Beware the hidden knife!



    Day 19 of Inktober - so far, I'm having fun reading/re-reading some of my knifefighting/martial arts/self-defense books. I'm also having fun practicing my 'gesture drawing' also. My drawings are not perfect, but they serve its purpose for me. Like a mental bookmark ... some loose and fast drawings to jog my memory ... like humming a few bars of a song. And on that front, they are perfect for me. Know what I mean?

    Today's picture/topic is the hidden knife. I hope you all are finding my drawings and notes useful in your martial journey!



    
    From "Knives, Knife Fighting and Related Hassles" (1990)
    By Marc "Animal" MacYoung


    "Pissed off Stance"

    • You can't see the knife until he strikes
    • Crossing arms is a natural reaction when someone is pissed off.
    • If someone crosses their arms - call them on it, run, or pre-emptive strike


    "Subway Pass"

    1. Subject approaches with hands in pockets.
    2. He starts to spin. Knife being removed from pocket and is concealed from victim's views.
    3. Completion of spin - knife is out and subject stabs victim.



    MY NOTES/COMMENTS



    "All warfare is based on deception."
    ~Sun Tzu


    Do you know why Police Officers always say, "Let me see your hands!" or advice when interacting with police is to show your hands clearly? If not, please read on...

    Anyone with a knife looking to assault you will conceal their blade. This is not like the movies where the subject will brandish a knife to intimidate. As you can see from my picture above, sometimes the hands are in sight, yet, they can still hide a blade.

    Be aware! Learn to read the tell-tale signs of impending violence. In poker, the signs to look for to see if a player is bluffing are called 'tells'. Gavin deBecker calls them PINs (Pre-INcident indicators).

    The subject will engage in conversation with dialogue as distraction and deception to "close the gap". Once they are close enough, the destruction will go down. Geoff Thompson calls these "The Four D's" in Chapter 1 of his "Dead or Alive" book:

    The Four 'D's

    There are four techniques often used by attackers, especially muggers and rapists, in preparing victims for attack. Although these are nearly always overlooked by self-defence writers, the four 'D's – dialogue, deception, distraction and destruction – are the most important element of self-protection to be aware of.

    DIALOGUE

    Dialogue designed to disarm and distract the targeted victim is the professional attacker's most common priming technique. An attacker will approach a potential victim in a non-threatening way and begin a conversation. Often, he will ask a question about directions, ask if you have the time, a light, or any spare change. His objective is to make you think about his question, so that you do not notice the weapon he is drawing or his accomplice coming round behind you. It only takes a second of distraction for you to get into deep trouble. Understanding this will make you more aware and keep you alert, which is the most important part of target hardening.

    DECEPTION

    An attacker uses deception to make himself appear harmless. Dialogue and appearance are the most common methods used to deceive victims, to make them let down their guard. Do not expect dangerous people to stand out in a crowd.

    Attacks may start with politeness, even with an ingratiating approach. Deception is the attacker's greatest asset. Every attack I have ever documented that was not a blind-side attack (the ones that happen when you do not use awareness) came through deception, the attacker using this as a window of opportunity.

    DISTRACTION

    Distraction is a part of deception and usually comes through dialogue. The attacker may ask his victim a question and then initiate attack while the victim is thinking about the answer. This distraction also switches off any instinctive, spontaneous physical response the victim may have. A man with twenty years of physical training in a fighting art can be stripped of his ability by this simple ploy. I have witnessed many trained fighters, who are monsters in the controlled arena, get beaten by a guy with only an ounce of their physical ability. How? They were distracted before the attack. Rob, a hardened street fighter and nightclub doorman, always told potential opponents that he didn't want to fight before he attacked them. Their first thought when recovering consciousness would be: 'I'm sure he said he didn't want to fight!'

    If the distraction is submissive, 'I don't want any trouble, can we talk about it?' it will also take your assailant down from a state of fight or flight to one of low awareness, because your submissiveness tells him that the danger is over and he can relax into self-congratulation.

    Brain engagement, via disarming/distracting dialogue, gives the victim a blind second. This is when the assailant strikes. The distraction is also used by the experienced attacker to take down any protective fences that may have been constructed by the victim (the 'fence' is dealt with in detail in a later chapter).

    DESTRUCTION

    This is the final product of expert priming. Few people survive the first physical blow and most are out of the game before they even realise that they are in it. Even trained martial artists often get suckered by the four 'D's because these do not appear on their training curriculum. They do not understand the enemy they are facing. The attacker uses the techniques of deception and distraction to prime a victim that is only trained in 'physical response'.

    When the destruction happens, most people have no idea how brutal and quick it can be.

    Rory Miller teaches "The Four Basic Truths":

    "Assaults happen closer, faster, more suddenly and with more power than most people can understand."

    Do not let 'unknown contacts' get close to you. Maintain some reactionary gap... put up your 'Fence' if you have to ... establish your boundaries. Be ready to run if you can or pre-emptive strike if the need arises.

    Craig Douglas aka "Southnarc" in teaching the Criminal Assault Paradigm has narrowed the tell-tale signs down to four Pre-Assault cues:

    1. Grooming
    2. Target Glancing
    3. Discernible Weight Shift
    4. Furtive movement of the hand towards the waist

    For further information, please read:


    Further, keep in mind, this is not the movies, when a knife is deployed, it's deadly force. Kelly McCann, writing as Jim Glover, in Guns & Ammo, May 1995:

    "Any time sharpened steel meets flesh, flesh loses. Once the fury of flashing steel begins, it is almost impossible to stop without sustaining injury. That is the reality of a knife attack. That is what makes a knife so dangerous to fight against."


    And if for whatever reason, you are able to see that the subject approaching you has a blade, keep in mind what martial arts living legend Dan Inosanto teaches as his anti-knife ROE (Rules of Engagement):

    1. Run!
    2. Throw things!
    3. Use things!
    4. Martial Arts -- and expect to get cut.
    Once you cannot see an unknown contact's hands and they are approaching you, usually joking, laughing and smiling, be mindful of what these signs can mean! One sign may be nothing, two signs and your spider-senses should be tingling mildly, three or more signs and you should be like Robby the Robot in the classic sci-fi TV series, "Lost in Space":  "Danger, Will Robinson!" THE FIT WILL HIT THE SHAN!!!

    Now you know why Police Officers always say, "Let me see your hands!"





    My drawings for Inktober 2017 - drawing at least 1 pic each day in October:


    Tuesday, September 12, 2017

    SCAM ALERT: Deliveries and Social Engineering



    "A fool and his money are soon parted."

    My friend, "B", bought a new stove. He expected delivery ~6pm last Friday night. Delivery crew showed up at 8:30pm. It was dark, he was looking out the window after one of the crew rang the bell. The truck was parked in the street and my friend saw a man, "M", talking to the delivery crew as they were unloading the stove.

    "M" went to my friend's house and was met by "B". "M" asked "B" for payment. B thinking nothing of M's request, and thinking he was part of the delivery crew informed M that he didn't have the funds on him. B requested M to go into the house and M would be paid after B inspects the stove. M didn't go in and as the delivery people started moving the stove in, M disappeared.

    After the stove is set and inspected, B asks the delivery crew where M was. The crew informed B that they don't know who M was. A lightning bolt struck B on the spot! He was relieved he didn't have the funds to pay at the time of M's request and if he did have the monies, he would've paid him!!

    I'm imagining this to be the sequence of events:

    1. "M" walking down the street and sees the parked delivery truck. He approaches the delivery crew.
    2. "Hi, you are finally here! I'm expecting a delivery tonight. Are you delivering a refrigerator to 124 Broadway?", asks M.
      "No, we are delivering a stove to 128 Broadway.", replied one of the crew.
      "Ah, ok, I'll call the store. Wonder why I still didn't get my refrigerator.", says M.
    3. "M" now goes to 128 Broadway. "B" greets him at the door.
    4. "Hello Sir. Your stove is here. Please pay me as my crew will bring in and install your stove for you.", says M.
      B replies, "Why don't you come in. I don't have the money with me now. I will pay you after I inspect the stove."
    Opportunities abound and "M" is quick-witted and/or experienced. It really can be this easy! Most people don't even realize that "social engineering" is at play.

    From wiki:

    "'Social engineering', in the context of information security, refers to psychological manipulation of people into performing actions or divulging confidential information. A type of confidence trick for the purpose of information gathering, fraud, or system access, it differs from a traditional "con" in that it is often one of many steps in a more complex fraud scheme."


    Forewarned is forearmed!




    My other blogs on Scammers:


    Monday, May 06, 2013

    NEWS: BEWARE: The Spiritual Blessing Con Game

    I noticed a NYPD flyer posted to some shop windows when I visited Flushing, Queens/NYC and checked it out further. Apparently Chinese elderly people are targeted by 1-3 Chinese females scamming the victims by saying they are looking bad, perhaps posessed by evil spirits or something. You and I won't fall for that ruse in all likelihood, but the elderly may. Just shows what scammers can and are willing to do to fleece good people of their possessions.


    Although this specific scam is perpetrated by Chinese women targeting the Chinese elderly, it behooves us to have some kind of system in place in handling our dealings with strangers. Check out these 2 articles if you haven't already for a general framework. These should be part of your SOP (Standard Operating Procedure) and ROE (Rules of Engagement):


    We must also pass on this information to the elderly and set up their 'defenses'. Many times we are only thinking about our personal safety or of others IF they are with us... we need to extend that out to your parents/grandparents/friends who may be elderly and easier prey for predators.



    The NYPD has issued this brochure.



    Text below:



    NYPD

    RAYMOND W. KELLY

    Police Commissioner



    BEWARE:
    THE SPIRITUAL BLESSING CON GAME

    THE SCAM UNFOLDS LIKE THIS:



    The spiritual blessing con game is a scam that targets elderly women, primarily from the Chinese community. Theperpetrators are typically Chinese women who approach potential victims on the street and engage them in conversation. The perpetrator will convince her victim that he or she is being followed by evil spirits and that bad luck or illness will befall the victim or members of his or her family. The con artist then tells her victim that she will help, but only if the victim brings all of her valuables (money and jewelry) to a meeting place where her belongings will be placed into a “good luck” bag for three days. Unfortunately, when the victim opens the bag she will discover that all of her money and jewelry have been removed and replaced with valueless items.



    AVOID FALLING VICTIM TO THIS CRIME, PLEASE REMEMBER THE FOLLOWING TIPS:

    • Don’t believe strangers who say they can remove bad luck or evil spirits.
    • Don’t hand your valuables over to strangers.
    • Perpetrators are Mandarin or Cantonese speaking females 30 - 40 years of age, working in groups of three (3).
    • If you are approached by such a person, or people, call 911 immediately!
    • If you have any information that may help the police regarding these incidents, please call Crime Stoppers @ 1-800-577-TIPS


    Stay Safe!




    My other blogs on Scammers:


    Friday, March 29, 2013

    Some notes on Deception by RPP Part 4


    Today's entry is the last in RPP's Notes on Deception which he posted to Spladdle Forum.

    If you missed the previous parts of the series, please read:




    Notes from Chapter 23 of Robert Greene's 33 Strategies of War







    Chapter 23 - Weave a seamless blend of fact and fiction: Misperception strategies

    Since no creature can survive without the ability to see or sense what is going on around it, you must make it hard for your enemies to know what is going on around them, including what you are doing. Disturb their focus and you weaken their strategic powers. People's perceptions are filtered through their emotions; they tend to interpret the world according to what they want to see. Feed their expectations, manufacture a reality to match their desires, and they will fool themselves. The best deceptions are based on ambiguity, mixing fact and fiction so that the one cannot be disentangled from the other. Control people's perceptions of reality and you control them.

    Military deception is about subtly manipulating and distorting signs of our identity and purpose to control the enemy's vision of reality and get them to act on their misperceptions.
    • It is the art of managing appearances.

    Since appearances are critical and deception is inevitable, what you want is to elevate your game - to make your deceptions more conscious and skillful.

    To master this art, you must embrace its necessity and find creative pleasure in manipulating appearances -- as if you were directing a film. The following are the six main forms of military deception, each with its own advantage.

    (1) The False Front

    Oldest form of deception.
    • Originally involved making the enemy believe that one was weaker than in fact was the case.

    The appearance of weakness often brings out people's aggressive side, making them drop strategy and prudence for an emotional and violent attack.

    Controlling the front you present to the world is the most critical deceptive skill. People respond most directly to what they see, to what is most visible to their eyes.
    • You need to present a front that disarms suspicions.

    That best front is weakness, which will make the other side feel superior to you, so that they either ignore you (and being ignored is very valuable at times) or are baited into an aggressive action at the wrong moment.
    • Once it is too late, once they are committed, they can find out the hard way that you are not so weak after all.

    Making people think they are better than you are -- smarter, stronger, more competent -- is often wise.
    • It gives you breathing space to lay your plans, to manipulate.

    (2) The Decoy Attack

    This ruse began as a solution to the following problem.

    If the enemy knew you were going to attack point A, they would put all their defenses there and make your job too difficult. But to deceive them on that score was not easy: even if before battle you were able to disguise your intentions and fool them out of concentrating their forces at point A, the minute they actually saw your army headed there, they would rush to its defense. The only answer was to march your army toward point B or, better, to send part of your army in that direction while holding troops in reserve for your real objective. The enemy would have to move some or all of its army to defend point B. Do the same with points C and D and the enemy would have to disperse all over the map.

    The key to this tactic is that instead of relying on words or rumours or planted information, the army really moves.
    • It makes a concrete action.
    • The enemy cannot afford to guess whether a deception is in the works: if they guess wrong, the consequences are disastrous.

    The decoy attack keeps the enemy dispersed and ignorant of your intentions.

    To keep people from defending the points you want to attack, follow the military model and make real gestures towards a goal that does not interest you.

    You must seem to be investing time and energy to attack that point, as opposed to simply trying to signal the intention with words. Actions carry such weight and seem so real that people will naturally assume that is your real goal.

    (3) Camouflage

    The ability to blend into the environment is one of the most terrifying forms of military deception.

    Preventing your enemies from seeing you until it is too late is a devastating way to control their perceptions.

    There are two applications of the camouflage strategy:

    (1) Blend into the social landscape. Avoid calling attention to yourself unless you choose to do so. When you talk and act like everyone else, mimicking their belief systems, when you blend into the crowd, you make it impossible for people to read anything particular in your behaviour (Appearances are all that count here -- dress and talk like a businessman and you be must be a businessman).

    (2) If you are preparing an attack of some sort and begin by blending into the environment, showing no sign of activity, your attack will seem to come out of nowhere, doubling its power.

    (4) The Hypnotic Pattern

    Machiavelli's view of people: human beings naturally tend to think in terms of patterns. They see events conforming to their expectations by fitting into a pattern or scheme. They believe the chaos of life is predictable.

    Machiavelli's "acclimatization": deliberately creating some pattern to make your enemies believe that your next action will follow true to form.
    • Having lulled them into complacency, you now have room to work against their expectations, break the pattern, and take them by surprise.

    Once people feel you have deceived them, they will expect you to mislead them again, but they usually think you'll try something different next time. No one, they will tell themselves, is so stupid as to repeat the exact same trick on the same person.
    • That, of course, is just when to repeat it, following the principle of always working against your enemy's expectations.

    Poe's "Purloined Letter": hide something in the most obvious place, because that is where no one will look.

    (5) Planted Information

    People are much more likely to believe something they see with their own eyes than something they are told. They are more likely to believe something they discover than something pushed at them.

    If you plant the false information you desire them to have -- with third parties, in neutral territory -- when they pick up the clues, they have the impression they are the ones discovering the truth.

    No matter how good a liar you are, when you deceive, it is hard to be completely natural. Your tendency is to try so hard to seem natural and sincere that it stands out and can be read.
    • This is why it is so effective to spread your deceptions through people whom you keep ignorant of the truth -- people who believe the lie themselves.
    • When working with double agents of this kind, it is always wise to initially feed them some true information -- this will establish the credibility of the intelligence they pass along.

    (6) Shadows Within Shadows

    Deceptive maneuvers are like shadows deliberately cast: the enemy responds to them as if they were solid and real, which in and of itself is a mistake.
    • In a sophisticated, competitive world, however, both sides know the game, and the alert enemy will not necessarily grasp at the shadow you have thrown.

    So you have to take the art of deception to a level higher, casting shadows within shadows, making it impossible for your enemies to distinguish between fact and fiction.

    Make everything so ambiguous and uncertain, spread so much fog, that even if you are suspected of deceit, it does not matter -- the truth cannot be unraveled from the lies, and all their suspicions gives them is torment.
    • As they strain to figure out what you are up to, they waste valuable time and resources.

    If you are trying to mislead your enemies, it is often better to concoct something ambiguous and hard to read, as opposed to an outright deception -- that deception can be uncovered and enemies can turn their discovery to their advantage, especially if you think they are still fooled and act under that belief. You are the one doubly deceived. By creating something that is simply ambiguous, though, by making everything blurry, there is no deception to uncover.


    Chapter 23 -- Reversal

    To be caught in deception is dangerous.
    • If you don't know that your cover is blown, your enemies have more information than you do and you become their tool.
    • If the discovery of your deceit is public, on the other hand, your reputation takes a blow, or worse.

    You must use deception with utmost caution, then, employing the least amount of people, to avoid the inevitable leaks.

    You should always leave yourself an escape route, a cover story to protect you should be exposed.

    Be careful not to fall in love with the power that deception brings; the use of it must always be subordinate to your overall strategy and kept under control.

    If you become known as a deceiver, try being straightforward and honest for a change. It will confuse people and your honesty will be a higher form of deception.




    This was the final installment in the series of RPP's Notes on Deception.  Deepest gratitude to RPP. Hope it helps you in your Sojourn of Septillion Steps!

    Thursday, March 28, 2013

    Some notes on Deception by RPP Part 3


    Continuing from yesterday's entry of RPP's Notes from Deception in War by Jon Latimer, here is Part 3, which he posted to Spladdle Forum.

    If you missed the previous parts of the series, please read:




    Notes from H. John Poole's Phantom Soldier: The Enemy's Answer to US Firepower


    H. John Poole's Strategies for Deception List (from the appendix of Phantom Soldier). I'll flesh these out with more notes when I get time, as some of them sound cryptic.


    Stratagems when in a superior position

    1. Openly cross an open area
    2. Seize something valuable the enemy has left unguarded
    3. Use the enemy against himself
    4. Make the enemy come to you
    5. Capitalize on a natural disaster
    6. Pretend to attack from one side and attack from another

    Stratagems for Confrontation
    1. Make Something out of nothing
    2. Attack from one side and switch to another
    3. Give Murphy's law time to work on the enemy
    4. Mask a sinister intention with a good impression
    5. Sacrifice minor concerns for the sake of the overall mission
    6. Seize the chance to increase the odds

    Stratagems for Attack
    1. Make a feint to discover the foe's intentions
    2. Steal the enemy's source of his strength
    3. Draw the enemy away from his refuge
    4. Give a retreating adversary room
    5. Discover a foe's intentions by offering him something of value
    6. Damage the enemy's method of control

    Stratagems for Confused Situations
    1. Erode the enemy's source of strength
    2. Create chaos to make an opponent easier to beat
    3. Leave behind a small force to slow and deceive pursuers
    4. Encircle the foe but let him think he has a way out
    5. Concentrate on the nearest opposition
    6. Borrow from the enemy the instrument of his own destruction

    Stratagems for Gaining Ground
    1. Attack the enemy's habits to undermine his foundation
    2. Make an example of someone to deter the enemy
    3. Feign lack of military ability
    4. Lure the foe into poor terrain and cut off his escape route
    5. Mislead the enemy with false information
    6. Secretly occupy an enemy-controlled area

    Stratagems for Desperate Situations
    1. Lull the enemy to sleep with something beautiful
    2. Reveal a weakness to cause the enemy to suspect a trap
    3. Attack the enemy's cohesion from within
    4. Feign injury to yourself
    5. Combine stratagems
    6. Refuse to fight



    The third installment tomorrow. HTH!

    Wednesday, March 27, 2013

    Some notes on Deception by RPP Part 2



    Following up on yesterday's entry of RPP's notes on Deception from Silent Warfare by Shulsky and Schmitt, here is Part 2, which he posted to Spladdle Forum. If you missed Part 1 of the series, please read Some notes on Deception by RPP Part 1.




    Notes from Deception in War by Jon Latimer

    Quote:
    "Surprise is a principle of war … It should primarily be directed at the mind of an enemy commander rather than at his force. The aim should be to paralyse the commander’s will." ~From Design for Military Operations: The British Military Doctrine
    Surprise is the great ‘force multiplier’ – it makes one stronger than is physically the case.
    • The most important factor contributing to the achievement of surprise is deception.

    It might be argued that security is an even more important concern, but in battle it is not sufficient for a commander to avoid error; he needs actively to cause his enemy to make mistakes through deception.

    To be successful in the art of deception a deceiver needs to know and understand the mind of the enemy commander.
    Quote:
    "Rashness, excessive audacity, blind impetuosity, or foolish ambition are all easily exploited by the enemy and most dangerous to any allies, for a general with such defects in his character will naturally fall victim to all kinds of stratagems, ambushes and trickery." ~Polybius in The Rise of the Roman Empire
    The place of self-deception in this process is an important one. Our perceptions develop through the process of learning, but are overlain by a sociological and cultural baggage that correlates to our prejudices.
    • We view our experiences through these mental templates, and whatever does not fit our prejudices tends to be overlooked or discarded.
    • All deception in war should be based on what the enemy himself not only believes, but hopes for.

    Skilfully conveyed false information on an information-flooded battlefield often has great influence on the mind of an enemy and the course of operations.

    Since military organizations look through doctrinal and physical templates as well as the mental templates of its individual members, it is this that provides the basis for deception. The information an enemy requires to make decisions can be manipulated, if one understands the templates he is using.

    A reputation for being crafty and deceptive will enhance the anxiety and uncertainty of one’s opponent.

    War is not a gentlemanly pursuit but often a matter of survival requiring ruthless measures in its pursuit.
    • It is often times of weakness that commanders first think of deception as a means of evening the odds.
    • In the West, deception is seen as immoral and counters military honour.

    The most effective deceivers display unorthodoxy of thought that is usually little appreciated in a peacetime army.
    • Successful deception is an art not a science.
    • Many of the best practitioners have had backgrounds in both the visual and the performing arts.

    The art of deception is most successful when applied patiently, with proven techniques guided by solid principles.

    The Intelligence Process

    A general who knows his opponent’s intentions has an advantage. Knowledge of the enemy’s intelligence capabilities and weaknesses will facilitate feeding him false information and help ensure that he accepts it.

    If the enemy has a predilection for particular sources of information, deception planning can be tailored accordingly.

    It is important to distinguish between information and intelligence.
    • Information is fact.
    • Intelligence is the significance of the fact after it has been processed.

    The business of collecting information about the enemy is reconnaissance.
    • Surveillance, a part of recon, is the systematic observation of selected areas.

    The specific purpose of military intelligence is to forecast what the enemy will do, where and when he will do it, how and in what strength. To be of any use, this must be disseminated to decision makers as quickly as possible.
    • Always bear in mind that there is a distinct and important difference between an enemy’s capabilities (which are relatively easy to define) and his intentions (which seldom are).

    Quote:
    "If there are three courses of action open to the enemy, he invariably chooses the fourth." ~Helmuth Graf von Moltke
    Prediction inherently involves a measure of informed guesswork, and as a result some commanders have felt their guesses to be as good as their staff.
    • A commanders snubbing of intelligence staff can be useful to deceivers

    Quote:
    "A great part of information obtained in war is contradictory, a still greater part is false, and by far the greatest part is of doubtful character."
    ~Clausewitz
    Things which inhibit accurate intelligence assessment include:
    1. Contradictory indicators
    2. Missing data
    3. Fast moving events
    4. Time lags between data collection and analysis
    5. Pure chance

    The aim of the intelligence officer is to watch the picture take form and predict what it will become.

    In attempting to create a misleading image the deceiver is not trying to fool the opposing intelligence officer so much as the opposing commander, a process that requires an understanding of both the opponent’s intelligence processes and the enemy commander’s attitude towards it.

    The intelligence process takes the form of a simple cycle.
    1. Direction: The commander must tell his staff what he needs to know so that they can allocate resources to collect information.
    2. Collection: Information comes in from sources and collection methods.
    3. Process: Information then processed into intelligence.
    4. Dissemination: Intelligence disseminated to those who need it. By constantly re-evaluating what is known by what is not, the cycle then continues.

    From a deceiver’s point of view, the critical phases of enemy’s intelligence cycle are the collection and processing phases.

    It is directed towards the enemy’s sources and agencies that false information must be directed, and a knowledge of what he is looking for during processing will assist in sending the ‘correct’ wrong information, since it is by reading ‘signatures’ of operation that intelligence staffs make predictions.

    Each army has its own characteristics, which must be carefully studied, and knowledge of one’s own characteristics immediately opens up deceptive possibilities for the display of false ones.

    Sources and Agencies involved in the process

    An intelligence source is anyone or anything from which information can be obtained.

    An intelligence agency is any organization or individual dealing in the collection of information for intelligence use.

    Sources of intelligence throughout history include:
    1. HUMINT: Spies, prisoners, locals and other people. Captured enemy documents and prisoners of war. Although the reliability of both is very questionable: documents can easily be plated and prisoners are not always trustworthy.
    2. Reconnaissance: By foot, horseback or armour.
    3. SIGINT: radio intercepts, electronic warfare
    4. IMINT: Aerial photography, imagery analysis

    Security

    Security is as fundamental a principle of war as intelligence.
    • Detailed knowledge of enemy’s reconnaissance and intelligence capabilities are vital if one’s secrets are to be preserved.

    Field or operational security involves the concealment of one’s own strengths and intentions from the enemy.

    For the purposes of both security and deception Napoleon was in the habit of continually altering the composition of his major formations.

    The larger a proposed operation, the more difficult that concealment becomes.
    • Operational security is most effective when applied systematically; it must be directed from the highest level and must concentrate on critical activities, identifying what indicators an enemy will look for and what information these might convey to the enemy.
    • It must also take account of the enemy’s reconnaissance, surveillance and target acquisition capabilities; so that measures can be designed to neutralize these. There is no form of camouflage more effective than putting out the enemy’s eyes.
    • Assessments must be made before and during an operation and continuously revised, since any protection measures taken must appear a normal part of activity: routines can thus both aid security and provide a basis for deception.
    • The plan must be capable of change at a short notice.

    The very identity of a general must be subject to security, and deception can aid this.
    • A general’s personal routine can be an indicator of forthcoming operations.
    Counter-Surveillance

    Before offensive deception measures can be planned, friendly surveillance effort must be directed towards establishing the type and density of the enemy’s sources and towards looking for weak spots.
    • As an aid to security and an integral part of the information battle, counter-surveillance, involving all those active and passive measures taken to prevent hostile surveillance of a force or area, forms the first category or level of deception.

    An enemy deprived of all intelligence or faced with ambiguous information may react unpredictably, and his actions may not necessarily be exploitable. Nevertheless, denial of genuine information is always an important objective and confusion may in some cases be a useful method of supporting deception by undermining the enemy’s intelligence effort.

    Active counter-surveillance measures include attacking enemy reconnaissance forces and passive ones.
    • The priorities for defensive deception measures should be related to the enemy’s reconnaissance priorities and capabilities, underlining again the need to understand as far as possible the enemy’s intelligence cycle.

    Camouflage is a key element of counter-surveillance.
    • Deception, not concealment, is the object of camouflage.



    The penultimate installment tomorrow. HTH!

    Tuesday, March 26, 2013

    Some notes on Deception by RPP Part 1



    My friend RPP took some notes on Deception which he posted to the Spladdle Forum. Today's entry is the first of four in this series. Deepest thanks to RPP for taking the time to type this up and share.



    I'm somewhat obsessed with deception. So, I'm gonna post various notes on Deception I've gathered over the last few years here (originally I had them on a now defunct blog, but they'd probably serve more of a purpose here). Hopefully the concepts will be useful for others.




    Notes from Silent Warfare by Shulsky and Schmitt pages 116-126


    Deception is the attempt to mislead an adversary’s intelligence analysis concerning the political, military, or economic situation he faces, with the result that, having formed a false picture of the situation, he is led to act in a way that advances one’s interests rather than his own.

    • Considered a form of counterintelligence
    • Deception and intelligence failure are related concepts.
    • One side’s successful deception implies the other side’s intelligence failure.
    • Deception can be applied in war or peace.
    • It is more often applied in wartime.
    • Deception ranges from tactical to strategic.

    Peacetime deception operations are not common, tend to be less well known, and are sometimes harder to identify as such.

    The content of the deception – the false view one wishes one’s adversary to adopt – obviously depends on the situation and on how one wishes one’s adversary to react.

    Situations

    (1) Situation: Wartime
    • Deception: Launch a surprise attack and convince adversary no attack is coming
    • Deception: Launch an attack with enemy knowing attack is coming by convincing adversary attack is coming at a time, in a place, or in a manner other than what is actually planned.

    (2) Situation: Peacetime
    • Deception: Convince adversary that one is stronger than one really is
    • Deception: Conceal one’s actual military strength to lull one’s adversary into complacency and failure to increase his own military forces.
    Blocking true signals and manufacturing false ones

    If we visualize the intelligence process as the reception and interpretation of signals emitted by the activities of the side under observation, then implementing a deception operation involves blocking, to the extent possible, the true signals (those that reflect actual activities) and substituting misleading ones.

    The first half of the task is the problem of security.

    • If too many true signals get through, the adversary is unlikely to be deceived, although he may be so confused by the mixture of true and false signals that he cannot form a coherent picture of the actual situation.
    • The first prerequisite of successful deception is the ability to block most, if not all, of the channels by which the adversary collects intelligence information about one’s activities.
    • This is easier to do in war than peace.

    Blocking intelligence-gathering channels requires:
    • A comprehensive knowledge of the intelligence channels by which the adversary receives signals.
    • A good counterespionage capability, as one well-placed human source could reveal the actual situation or deception plan.
    • Know the adversary’s technical intelligence-collection capabilities in order to thwart them.

    The second half of the task is manufacturing false signals
    • Planned with the adversary’s human and technical intelligence-collection capabilities in mind.

    Feedback

    In conducting a deception operation, one faces major uncertainties:
    • Were all the real signals blocked?
    • Did the manufactured signals reach the adversary?
    • Did he draw the desired conclusions from them?

    To answer the questions, successful deception employs some method of finding out how the adversary is assessing the situation.
    • If he is not alert enough to have noticed the false signals, or if he has not interpreted them as the deceiver wished him to, more can be manufactured to get his attention and lead him to the desired interpretation.
    • If he begins to sense anomalies in the (false) picture of the situation the deceiver has planted in his mind, new signals can be created to explain them away.
    • If enough true signals have reached the adversary to enable him to understand the situation correctly, one may wish to abandon the deception and change plans.

    Feedback can be obtained in many forms:
    • In some cases (such as wartime deception, or deception in support of surprise attack), the adversary’s actions (or lack of them) may be sufficient indication of whether he has been deceived.
    • In other cases, adequate feedback may require good intelligence about the other side’s views of the situation

    The more long-term and strategic the deception, the more important good intelligence feedback becomes.
    • The deceived party’s responses to such deception take longer to become manifest: thus, one needs some other way of knowing whether the bait has been taken.

    Peacetime deception requires better intelligence feedback than wartime.
    • In wartime adversary is more likely to act quickly based on his understanding of the situation, during peacetime the adversary is under less pressure to act quickly
    • This is why deception is rarer in peacetime than in war.
    • The adversary in wartime is also more likely to be deceived because he is under pressure to act quickly and has less time to analyse the situation.

    Deception and Self-Deception

    The false view must be plausible to the adversary
    • Success is more likely if the deception scenario is based on what the adversary thinks is the case anyway.
    Counterdeception

    Experience shows that defeating every attempt an adversary might make at deception is very difficult.
    • There is a strong psychological resistance to the idea that one is being deceived.

    Understanding deception is the first step toward figuring out how to avoid being deceived; by understanding the factors that facilitate deception, one can at least be alert to the possibility of deception and recognize some warning signs.

    One is particularly vulnerable to deception when one is dependent on a small number of channels of information and when the adversary is aware, at least in general terms, of the nature of these channels and their mode of operation.
    • When one understands the risk of being deceived that comes from heavy reliance on a single known channel, one can decide what to do about it. The best corrective is to maximise what might be called “unexpected collection,” such as collecting information at times and places when the adversary doesn’t anticipate it.




    Part 2 tomorrow. HTH!

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